Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001109 0.001259 0.001410 0.001574 0.001744 0.001917 0.002105
2025-08-24 0.000830 0.001040 0.001260 0.001504 0.001766 0.002037 0.002337
2025-08-31 0.000657 0.000910 0.001185 0.001500 0.001844 0.002207 0.002614
2025-09-07 0.000534 0.000822 0.001146 0.001524 0.001947 0.002398 0.002910
2025-09-14 0.000400 0.000705 0.001062 0.001491 0.001980 0.002508 0.003115
2025-09-21 0.000322 0.000645 0.001038 0.001520 0.002078 0.002686 0.003391
2025-09-28 0.000275 0.000618 0.001048 0.001586 0.002214 0.002906 0.003709
2025-10-05 0.000208 0.000554 0.001008 0.001588 0.002274 0.003036 0.003928
2025-10-12 0.000161 0.000512 0.000990 0.001613 0.002359 0.003193 0.004174
2025-10-19 0.000108 0.000447 0.000938 0.001594 0.002388 0.003285 0.004344
2025-10-26 0.000070 0.000398 0.000903 0.001592 0.002436 0.003395 0.004534
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000343 0.000854 0.001569 0.002456 0.003472 0.004684
2025-11-09 0.000006 0.000274 0.000792 0.001546 0.002498 0.003599 0.004923
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000186 0.000690 0.001465 0.002469 0.003645 0.005070
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000138 0.000641 0.001453 0.002523 0.003788 0.005330
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000107 0.000617 0.001472 0.002615 0.003976 0.005642
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000065 0.000557 0.001436 0.002636 0.004077 0.005853
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000047 0.000542 0.001463 0.002734 0.004271 0.006170
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000040 0.000552 0.001526 0.002880 0.004521 0.006552
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000022 0.000522 0.001527 0.002943 0.004670 0.006815
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000012 0.000508 0.001552 0.003036 0.004854 0.007118
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000002 0.000469 0.001532 0.003068 0.004963 0.007332
2026-01-18 NaN NaN 0.000442 0.001530 0.003123 0.005098 0.007575